What Might A More Serious Conflict In Ukraine Look Like?

Friday 13 February 2015





Jonathan Eya, CNN: Never-ending war: What might a more serious conflict in Ukraine look like?



A deal aimed at imposing a ceasefire in Ukraine from this Sunday was concluded following talks between the leaders of Russia, Ukraine, France and Germany. Yet despite 17 hours of talks in the Belarus capital of Minsk, during which President Vladimir Putin was seen breaking pencils on his desk in frustration, some of the agreement's most important provisions have yet to be clarified.


And although German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Francois Hollande proclaimed themselves satisfied with the deal, both should know the chances of a durable settlement remain slim.



WNU Editor: I am becoming more and more resigned to Ukraine becoming a failed and deeply divided state. I no longer have any confidence that a peaceful resolution will come out of this conflict .... too many people have died, and positions have hardened .... ultra-Ukrainian nationalists want to continue the war regardless of the consequences, and many pro-Russian supporters in the eastern part of the country do not want to be a part of Ukraine even if they get politically what they have been demanding since the start of this war. The country is also broke, the young all want to leave to Europe/North America/Australia .... and all the outside countries .... Russia, the U.S., eastern Europe .... they have all aggravated the situation further by pursuing policies and an agenda that does not take into consideration the tremendous suffering that is now occurring for millions of Ukrainians. My prediction for the future is the following .... the Minsk peace agreement is dead, the war is going to escalate, arms are going to flow into the country from all sides (as if all sides do not have enough weapons), more sanctions will be imposed against Russia, the utter implosion of the Ukraine economy resulting in millions wanting to leave, and casualty rates that will approach the tens of thousands. And in the end .... Ukraine will be split into two parts with the boundaries determined by military victories and defeats.

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